Thursday, November 6, 2008

How Frank Kratovil Wins, Part V

Worcester is official - Frank picks up another 137 to his margin.
Talbot is official - Frank picks up +121 

UPDATE:

Using some basic math, there are fewer than 5,300 absentee votes to be counted in Harford. Add in the expected +100 margin left to be added in Wicomico when counting resumes tomorrow (there are ~700 votes to count in Wicomico still, and they should break +100 for Frank), Harris would have to win the absentees in Harford on the order of 4,100 to 1,050 to win. I just don't see that happening when he only took 56% on Tuesday and Frank took 40%. He'd need to take over 76% of Harford's absentees to win, and he has only outperformed his Election Day number in Worcester, I believe.

We still have to count provisionals, including a few hundred from UMES in Somerset, but the path to victory for Andy Harris looks almost non-existent at this point.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Anything more than about 150 votes is a landslide.

I really, really like where we are now. I'm also getting a HUGE amount of smug satisfaction out of knowing my Harford absentee ballot is on the pile.

Thanks for the great coverage, Duck.

duck around said...

Not a prob. Check the next update - it gets better.